The Guardian (guardian_news) wrote,
The Guardian
guardian_news

The Democrats should win but, as in 2016, what should happen may well not

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/nov/04/democrats-could-win-house-but-spectre-trumps-fearmongering

It remains to be seen if the president’s worst excesses still appeal to voters’ primal instinct – fear

America’s midterm elections are principally for the House of Representatives and the Senate, but they are usually regarded as a national referendum on the performance of the sitting president – and an important indicator of how the next presidential election may turn out. That’s especially true of polls held, as with Donald Trump on Tuesday, held during a president’s first term.

Historically speaking, the party of a first-term president has lost seats on all but two occasions since 1789 – sometimes disastrously, as happened to the Democrats in 1994 during Bill Clinton’s first term. In 1858, President James Buchanan’s Democrats were crushed by Abraham Lincoln’s newly formed Republicans, a fracture that opened the way for the American civil war.

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